World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

AM Outlook - All One Side Spells Trouble

GOOD MORNING, Prices started the night lower, but head into the close higher into today's important WASDE report, one that could determine trend over the next several weeks.  Jan and Feb timeframes are typically negative for US markets as early harvest begins in Brazil, but this year La Nina pushes that timeframe back.  Rains in South America pressured the market a bit, but this is all about positioning into the report.  Funds stand heading into the report long an estimated 400K contracts of corn, 11K wheat, 175K beans, 100K soyoil, and 75K meal.  Typically, when funds are all on one side of the market it spells trouble.  The report and weather moving forward will determine whether the bull boat continues to float...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed But Steady with an Outside Surprise

The U.S. created more new jobs in January than expected, especially in healthcare. And there was more ethanol produced last week than the market expected. Soyoil hit a new contract high, but South American production continues to look quite substantial. The mixed news produced mixed results, bu...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins weakened further last week, with estimated net losses widening to -$247/head, extending the deterioration seen through late January. Boxed beef values were firmer last week, but gains failed to offset increases in fed cattle prices, resulting in additional margin compression...

A Year in Review: Impact of Tariffs on Agricultural and Food Processing Machinery

We now have nearly a year of data to work with on the impact of the Trump Administration’s tariffs.  When they were first announced, there was quite a bit of conjecture and some sophisticated economic analysis about how trade flows would be impacted. This brief analysis will focus br...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed But Steady with an Outside Surprise

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livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.275/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.3725/bushel, up $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $11.24/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $303/short ton, up $2.2 from ye...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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