World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

AM Outlook - All One Side Spells Trouble

GOOD MORNING, Prices started the night lower, but head into the close higher into today's important WASDE report, one that could determine trend over the next several weeks.  Jan and Feb timeframes are typically negative for US markets as early harvest begins in Brazil, but this year La Nina pushes that timeframe back.  Rains in South America pressured the market a bit, but this is all about positioning into the report.  Funds stand heading into the report long an estimated 400K contracts of corn, 11K wheat, 175K beans, 100K soyoil, and 75K meal.  Typically, when funds are all on one side of the market it spells trouble.  The report and weather moving forward will determine whether the bull boat continues to float...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bulls Rest While Eyeing South American Weather

The CBOT turned mostly lower on Tuesday as the excitement from the bullish WASDE faded. Traders now see the corn and soybean yield and production cuts as fully priced into futures, which left markets to return to trading the South American weather outlooks and export trends. Both of these facto...

Produce Price Inflation Mixed Signals

Producer price inflation (PPI) ended 2024 up 0.2 percent in December. That is a modest gain and was below pre-report expectations. Nonetheless, the PPI was 3.3 higher than a year ago, and substantially higher than the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target. That stickiness trend will keep inflation...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.745/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.4625/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $10.475/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $305.8/short ton, down $2 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bulls Rest While Eyeing South American Weather

The CBOT turned mostly lower on Tuesday as the excitement from the bullish WASDE faded. Traders now see the corn and soybean yield and production cuts as fully priced into futures, which left markets to return to trading the South American weather outlooks and export trends. Both of these facto...

Produce Price Inflation Mixed Signals

Producer price inflation (PPI) ended 2024 up 0.2 percent in December. That is a modest gain and was below pre-report expectations. Nonetheless, the PPI was 3.3 higher than a year ago, and substantially higher than the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target. That stickiness trend will keep inflation...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.745/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.4625/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $10.475/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $305.8/short ton, down $2 from...

Tariff Adjustment/Musk; Cynical Biden Trade Goals; Biofuel Proposal Disappoints

Tariff Adjustment/MuskRecognizing the inflation threat of sudden and large import tariffs, Donald Trump’s economic team: Scott Bessent (Treasury), Kevin Hassett (National Economic Council), and Stephen Miran (Council of Economic Advisers) are reportedly working on a plan of more gradual 2-5 per...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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