GOOD MORNING, Prices remain steady today as the Agricultural Outlook Forum presents its full Supply and Demand tables and acreage numbers. Heading out this weekend funds may hold an estimated 130K short corn, 90K beans, and 50K meal. Funds are estimated to be net long around 45K wheat and 45K soyoil. As to the Outlook numbers: The gist of the report was bullish for wheat, with production to drop 4%. Key feature in the beans was that USDA increased exports and drew down ending stocks, tilting the numbers into a more friendly slant as well. Corn numbers were neutral to bearish. Reaction of the market was for wheat and beans to strengthen post data. Here are the Forum...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
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