The U.S. dollar was already at a two-year high when President-Elect Donald Trump announced he would impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico over drugs and immigration. The Canadian dollar was at a four year low against the dollar and fell further. The peso also fell and is now at its weakest in over two years. Import restrictions promise to inflate U.S. prices and thus spur further Fed interest rate hikes, causing the dollar to appreciate further. But a strong dollar reduces the competitiveness of U.S. agricultural commodity exports. There is a moderate inverse correlation between U.S. farm exports and the real annual agricultural trade-weighted exchange rate of the dollar. The correlation can be better or worse depending on the commodity...
Infrastructure investment due diligence
On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.
What You Need to Know Today: Markets got a surprise with a corn yield of 181.2 bushels/acre in the October WASDE, above the average estimate of 177.6 bushels/acre and up from USDA’s September estimate of 178.5 bushels/acre. Although stronger demand is expected to absorb some of the addit...
Key Takeaways: On Friday afternoon, President Trump announced that Russia will “immediately supply over 300,000 Tons of Diesel Fuel” to the United States. The deal, typical of this administration, is light on details but promises an additional 500,000 tons in November and 1 m...
The USDA has lowered its 2026 red meat production forecasts slightly while forecasting a slight increase in broiler production. Beef is now projected at 24.802 billion pounds, 75 million pounds less than in September. Cow slaughter is expected to be up; however, this will be offset by lower ste...