World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Are Commodity Prices Ignoring Global Stocks?

WPI recently received a question from a client asking, in effect, if global crop prices have become immune – or at least less sensitive – to changes in global crop ending stocks. The reasoning offered was the perception that corn futures are becoming less responsive to declining global corn ending stocks/use (ESU) ratios, or global stocks excluding China. Evidence of this supposed phenomenon was a chart showing global corn stocks excluding China on one y-axis and CBOT corn futures on the other y-axis. The chart, which we were unable to republish but created a similar graph below, appeared to show that CBOT futures once held a strong, negative correlation to world ex-China ESU ratios, but that correlation was dissipating over the...

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No Trade Bailout; Statements Betray USMCA

No Trade Bailout The Trump Administration’s $12 billion economic assistance package to farmers is being framed by the media as a “bailout” for the adverse impact of the President’s tariffs and trade wars. But there is no adverse impact in most instances. Wheat prices hav...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4425/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.295/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $10.9125/bushel, up $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $301.2/short ton, down $0.1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: China Buys While Timeline Changes; Wheat Drops on Export Outlook

Once again, the headlines for CBOT trade revolved around news from China, this time in support of both bulls and bears. Bulls benefited from the news of “flash” export sales of 17 Mbu to China and unknown destinations, which was an obvious encouragement to the market. One of the rea...

No Trade Bailout; Statements Betray USMCA

No Trade Bailout The Trump Administration’s $12 billion economic assistance package to farmers is being framed by the media as a “bailout” for the adverse impact of the President’s tariffs and trade wars. But there is no adverse impact in most instances. Wheat prices hav...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4425/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.295/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $10.9125/bushel, up $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $301.2/short ton, down $0.1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: China Buys While Timeline Changes; Wheat Drops on Export Outlook

Once again, the headlines for CBOT trade revolved around news from China, this time in support of both bulls and bears. Bulls benefited from the news of “flash” export sales of 17 Mbu to China and unknown destinations, which was an obvious encouragement to the market. One of the rea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 1–5 December 2025 Russia’s grain markets remained largely bearish during the first week of December, although some regions showed bullish sentiment. Trends varied between the European and Asian parts of the country. In Siberia, wheat prices declined across all...

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From WPI Consulting

Infrastructure investment due diligence

On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.

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