USDA cannot possibly construct a 10-year baseline that predicts or anticipates certain factors. The only thing we can say with confidence is that  unexpected influences that change prospects for supply/demand will come along to move prices.Undeterred by the 12 inches of snow that fell overnight, USDA released its latest 10-year baseline projections for crop production and trade right on schedule. A new version is issued every year about a week prior to USDA's annual Outlook Conference so that interested parties have a chance to see the long-term views of USDA analysts before the conference. It should be remembered that USDA's baseline projections were compiled about three months ago in November. Whatever changes have occurred since tha...