World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 20 – 24 January 2025 The domestic market remained bullish while the export market in dollar terms remained relatively stable. Export duties decreased slightly allowing prices to grow. Most likely the biggest bullish factor is the remaining grain stocks which are melting.  The Asian part of Russia lives a separate life where prices are not as bullish as neighbouring Kazakhstan which during some years was buying Russian wheat but shows no interest whatsoever in the Russian commodity even after the ban was lifted. At least this is the situation as of January. Prices in Kehkashan are quite low barely reaching $135/MT for 3rd grade milling wheat. Russian Grain Union (RGU) is forecasting a decrease in grain expor...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.44/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.745/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6525/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $317.6/short ton, up $3.5...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Fundamentals Replace War Trading

Geopolitics has proven that it beats weather as a volatility driver, but agricultural markets and financials returned to fundamentals today. The truce/non-truce/truce had its influences, with the soy sector following oil higher, but wheat traded down on stocks reports while corn buyers’ e...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Energies Collapse on Ceasefire News but Grains Reclaim Early Losses

Once again, Trump, Iran, and the Middle East were the hub around which the CBOT trade revolved on Wednesday. Late Tuesday, the U.S. agreed to a two-week ceasefire agreement with Iran, just days after President Trump threatened to escalate attacks against the Middle Eastern country. In the annou...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.44/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.745/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6525/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $317.6/short ton, up $3.5...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Fundamentals Replace War Trading

Geopolitics has proven that it beats weather as a volatility driver, but agricultural markets and financials returned to fundamentals today. The truce/non-truce/truce had its influences, with the soy sector following oil higher, but wheat traded down on stocks reports while corn buyers’ e...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Energies Collapse on Ceasefire News but Grains Reclaim Early Losses

Once again, Trump, Iran, and the Middle East were the hub around which the CBOT trade revolved on Wednesday. Late Tuesday, the U.S. agreed to a two-week ceasefire agreement with Iran, just days after President Trump threatened to escalate attacks against the Middle Eastern country. In the annou...

Policy Deference; Reasserting Article I; Two-Tailed Dog; EU Imports; WTO Skepticism

Policy Deference The bilateral trade balance is a narrow way to look at the relative relationship between two countries. The government of Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo is seeking to ignore its own regulations that guide the application of the General Law on Adequate and Sustainable...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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