World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 22–26 April 2024 Russian analysts are beginning to worry that this season’s grain production in Russia may drop from almost 145 MMT in 2023 to 135 MMT because of the drought in Southern Federal District – the wheat belt of Russia. Russian Ministry of Agriculture forecasts wheat production down to 88 MMT versus 90 MMT, barley production is now 18 MMT versus 19.5 MMT, and corn is 15 MMT versus 18.8 MMT. The 2023 crop produced 93 MMT of wheat, barley – 21.1 MMT, and corn – 16.6 MMT. Earlier, the industry was expecting rains, and the forecast was still around 140 MMT but now the rains are scarce and if the drought continues it may have a severe impact in Russia’s south. All the statis...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: War and Easter Exit Strategy

There were a lot of moving parts on the last trading day of the holiday-shortened week, but liquidation and profit-taking may have been the strongest. A prolonged war and higher energy prices will impact consumption and inflation, while supporting biofuels. Storm systems may reduce some of the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5225/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.9825/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.635/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $315.2/short ton, down $3 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5425/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.975/bushel, down $0.1875 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.685/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $318.2/short ton, up $1.8...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: War and Easter Exit Strategy

There were a lot of moving parts on the last trading day of the holiday-shortened week, but liquidation and profit-taking may have been the strongest. A prolonged war and higher energy prices will impact consumption and inflation, while supporting biofuels. Storm systems may reduce some of the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5225/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.9825/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.635/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $315.2/short ton, down $3 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5425/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.975/bushel, down $0.1875 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.685/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $318.2/short ton, up $1.8...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Plenty of Information — No Clear Direction

Key Market Developments Macro: Tension Without Direction Markets are trading the tension between escalation and resolution — and neither side has control. Both equities and commodities tested key technical levels this week before reversing sharply on headlines suggesting — at least...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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