Russian Grain Markets: 3–7 July 2023 The first week of the new marketing year is gone and the market is under severe pressure due to carryover, slower exports, and multinational traders leaving the market. Farmers are not in a hurry to dump their grains at lower prices especially with a high U.S. dollar. The government immediately increased export duties because they are calculated in RUB not in dollars thus killing potential growth in export prices. All in all, export prices remained within previous stable levels. The June estimate of grain carryover was 36 MMT, up 9 MMT from the previous year and is a record-breaking indicator. The wheat carryover is 25 MMT which is up 10 MMT. The preliminary July estimate is 30 MMT; traditi...
What You Need to Know Today: There has already been a strong run of flash soybean sales announcements in recent weeks, but more than 1.4 MMT reported this morning is an exceptionally large single-day total with major implications for the market. If the sales to China and unknown destinations w...
In agriculture and food processing, we think a lot about infrastructure: transportation and storage, processing and packaging, distribution and delivery. It is a physical system of roads, railroads, and rivers; concrete and steel storage; processing plants, warehouses, and machinery; and, event...
Key Takeaways: The Panama Canal’s draft restrictions and decreasing rainfall outlook are driving big moves in dry bulk markets this week. Panamax markets are sharply lower as the economics of moving freight across the Canal are deteriorating rapidly, leading to support in Supramax vessels...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.