Russian Grain Markets: 22–26 July 2024 This season Russia will fail to produce a record crop despite an earlier harvesting campaign. The Ministry of Agriculture believes in their previous forecast of 132 MMT of which wheat is 86 MMT. Interestingly, the Ministry of Agriculture is the most optimistic while other analysts are forecasting lower levels of grain production for this season. For instance, IKAR believes in 128 MMT of which wheat is 83-84 MMT. The corn crop is forecast at 14 MMT versus 17 MMT a year ago. USDA’s July forecast shows 83 MMT of wheat. Neither source is forecasting grain production in the occupied territories of Ukraine including Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson regions. Unofficial information is...
What You Need to Know Today: Corn, wheat, and the soy complex all formed new contract or at least rally highs to close what has become one of the most uniformly bullish weeks in CBOT history. Escalations in the fighting between Russia and Ukraine and attacks on civilian merchant vessels show n...
Macro: Trade Flows Set the Tone Persian Gulf crude flows appear to be improving, with anecdotal estimates suggesting as much as 7–8 million barrels per day may now be leaving the region — nearly double the mid-July pace. That helps explain why crude has not maintained the full geopo...
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