World Perspectives

Blame the Golden Goose; Sour Mystery; Port Protectionism

Blame the Golden Goose The COP26 meeting in Glasgow continues this week and developing nations are demanding that rich countries compensate them for climate change with a large wad of cash - $1 trillion per year to Africa, another $1 trillion for India, etc. They argue that the rich countries bear primary responsibility for climate change, noting that historically, the U.S. alone has been responsible for 20 percent of global emissions. This is of course Trumpian-level analysis that sees the world as a zero-sum game.  Because the U.S. economy grew, so did that of the developing countries. Their merchandise exports grew by over 1,000 percent, as did foreign direct assistance into their governance-challenged economies. There is a reason...

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Recent Market Volatility Increases Futures Mispricing

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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