World Perspectives
biofuel energy

Brazil Punts on Ethanol TRQ

Reports from Brazil indicate that the government is leaning toward extending the TRQ for U.S. ethanol imports for 90 days (the TRQ expired yesterday). There has been no official action yet.   The expected extension is considered a compromise solution from President Bolsonaro. It would hep the Trump Administration by maintaining the quota for duty free ethanol imports, and it helps Bolsonaro politically as the domestic industry is calling for eliminating the tariff free quota altogether and applying a 20 percent tariff. The U.S. industry wants total duty-free access like in 2017; the Brazilian industry wants market access to the U.S. sugar market in order to give up the TRQ. Brazil is subject to a quota for sugar exports to the U...

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Market Commentary: Invigorating Week and Now a Candy High

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The Outlook for U.S., South American, and Chinese Soy Crush Margins

CBOT board soybean crush margins have recently compressed due to the run-up in soybean prices and weakness in soyoil values. The January board crush fell from its recent high of 155.75 cents/bu on 17 October to 140.75 as of this writing, a decrease of about 10 percent. This week’s sudden...

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Winner, Winner Chicken Dinner

Inflation pressure has added tailwinds for the chicken sector. Food service operators have experienced lower traffic and have therefore resorted to promotions to attract customers, mainly featuring chicken. Restaurant traffic declined 2 percent in September, and 30 percent of commercial foodser...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Invigorating Week and Now a Candy High

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soy-oilseeds

The Outlook for U.S., South American, and Chinese Soy Crush Margins

CBOT board soybean crush margins have recently compressed due to the run-up in soybean prices and weakness in soyoil values. The January board crush fell from its recent high of 155.75 cents/bu on 17 October to 140.75 as of this writing, a decrease of about 10 percent. This week’s sudden...

livestock

Winner, Winner Chicken Dinner

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WPI Grain Transportation Report

Dry bulk markets were quiet and mostly flat last week. Spot rates softened a little bit as vessel owners threw in the towel on waiting for improved demand. Most hopes for any recovery in rates now rests on the new U.S.-China trade deal.  After the positive meeting between Presidents Xi and...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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