World Perspectives

Breaking Convention

No political leader has broken rules and norms like President Trump but only because previous leaders refused to bravely declare that the emperor has no clothes. The list of upended conventions is long and still growing. Just this past week it was investors noting how economists have been wrong for predicting a recession this year due to tariffs.  Europeans are furious at their leaders for capitulating to Mr. Trump on trade only because they still lack an appreciation for how overly-dependent they had become on the U.S. for both national defense and trade built on unequal terms. They are still ignoring the advice of Mario Draghy on making their economies more competitive even as their welfare state falls apart as currently witnessed in...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Friday’s Ends a Tough Week Except for Soyoil and Dollar

There was a glimmer of hope for bulls on Friday, but it was just a glimmer. Soybeans, meal and HRW closed higher, but the rest of the players fell off the merry-go-round. There was generally lower volume but the trend is clear – there is an over abundance of grain on world markets and U.S...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.255/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.3975/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.25/bushel, up $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $319.2/short ton, up $1.6 from...

Parsing Newly Resumed Macro Data

With the longest government shutdown in history now over, the flow of economic data has resumed.  Two key items of market interest are the September employment report and the August’s trade numbers. But they tell an uncertain story. especially when coupled with the Consumer Price Rep...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Friday’s Ends a Tough Week Except for Soyoil and Dollar

There was a glimmer of hope for bulls on Friday, but it was just a glimmer. Soybeans, meal and HRW closed higher, but the rest of the players fell off the merry-go-round. There was generally lower volume but the trend is clear – there is an over abundance of grain on world markets and U.S...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.255/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.3975/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.25/bushel, up $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $319.2/short ton, up $1.6 from...

Parsing Newly Resumed Macro Data

With the longest government shutdown in history now over, the flow of economic data has resumed.  Two key items of market interest are the September employment report and the August’s trade numbers. But they tell an uncertain story. especially when coupled with the Consumer Price Rep...

livestock

Despite Futures Pullback, Cow-Calf Profits Hit Records

With November and the fall calf run almost over, the U.S. beef industry now has its first truly solid estimates of the realized profitability of many cow-calf operations. Most operations wean and market calves in the fall, starting in September or early October and running through December, whi...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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