World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds

Can a Trade Deal Save U.S. 2025/26 Soybean Exports?

Wednesday’s headline in the ag markets was President Trump’s social media post that indicated soybeans will be on the agenda for his upcoming summit with President Xi. The news was the first significant acknowledgement by the administration since starting the trade war that it is having a negative impact on U.S. soybean exports. Typically, by this time of the year, the U.S. has booked 250-600 Mbu of soybean exports to China and about 800 Mbu in total export bookings. Current bookings to China are, of course, zero while total bookings are just above 400 Mbu, down 37 percent YTD. So, the impact of the trade war is abundantly clear.  It was no surprise, then, when futures markets reacted to the president’s post with a bu...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2175/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.1475/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2375/bushel, up $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $279.3/short ton, up $5.7 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Tweet Yields Another Rally and Perhaps a Floor

After yesterday’s charge forward in soybeans and a lower close in the overnight, optimists on a trade deal with China again took over and brought another higher close that this time infected both the corn and wheat markets. As stated in Matt’s adjacent analysis, this seems overwroug...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Shutdown Affects Reports; Screwworm Drug Approved

The federal government has been shut down since midnight on Wednesday and various USDA reports have been suspended.  This includes some of the data typically reported in the Thursday livestock report, including slaughter data and livestock and poultry inventories.   USDA posted o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2175/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.1475/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2375/bushel, up $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $279.3/short ton, up $5.7 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Tweet Yields Another Rally and Perhaps a Floor

After yesterday’s charge forward in soybeans and a lower close in the overnight, optimists on a trade deal with China again took over and brought another higher close that this time infected both the corn and wheat markets. As stated in Matt’s adjacent analysis, this seems overwroug...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Shutdown Affects Reports; Screwworm Drug Approved

The federal government has been shut down since midnight on Wednesday and various USDA reports have been suspended.  This includes some of the data typically reported in the Thursday livestock report, including slaughter data and livestock and poultry inventories.   USDA posted o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Ag Markets Rally on Trump Post About China Negotiations

CBOT markets - and the soy complex in particular - staged a substantial rally Wednesday afternoon after President Trump’s positive comments on reopening ag product trade with China. President Trump posted on social media that he intends to challenge China’s President Xi on the latte...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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