World Perspectives
livestock

Cattle Herd Growing but Slowing

USDA released its semi-annual cattle inventory report yesterday. It showed the U.S. herd on 1 January 2018 was the largest in nine years at 94.4 million head or 101 percent of the total on the same date a year ago. The calf crop was estimated at 35.8 million head or 102 percent of the 2016 total. The growth came from calves born during the first half of 2017, estimated at 26.0 million head or 73 percent of the annual total. The report confirms that the cattle herd is still increasing but at a slower pace. The more rapid expansion over the past three years followed a decline during the extended drought period that lowered pasture and range conditions through 2014. Thus, all eyes were on the documented female inventory changes as an indicato...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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