World Perspectives
livestock

Cattle Inventory Report: U.S. Cattle Herd Still in Contraction

USDA released its January Cattle Inventory report today. The U.S. cattle herd is still in a contraction phase. 

The total inventory of all cattle and calves as of 1 January was 86.7 million head, down 500,000 head from last year. Key numbers from today’s report are:

The cattle on feed estimate showed 87.2 percent on feedlots of 1,000 head or more capacity, slightly higher than last year.  The combined total of calves under 500 pounds, other heifers, plus steers over 500 pounds, representing the number of feeder cattle outside of feedlots, was 24.6 million head, just slightly below 1 January 2024. The 1 January number of feeder cattle outside of feedlots is the lowest since 2015. Feeder cattle outside feed lots make up 63 p...

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CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds paring back their net long position across the major ag futures contracts, ending a ten-week streak of net buying. Funds sold 62,000 contracts (6.4 percent) to their all-ags net long position last week with selling in corn, soybeans, and CBOT wheat respon...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.41/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.71/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.7575/bushel, up $0.105 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $331.8/short ton, up $14.2 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Conflicting Factors Equals Mixed Day

There are so many conflicting narratives between war and peace, rain and drought, hopes and fears, that it was a mixed day of trading on Friday, and a mixed outcome for the week.  For today, corn suffered its sixth lower day in the past seven trading sessions. There was high volume in soyb...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds paring back their net long position across the major ag futures contracts, ending a ten-week streak of net buying. Funds sold 62,000 contracts (6.4 percent) to their all-ags net long position last week with selling in corn, soybeans, and CBOT wheat respon...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.41/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.71/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.7575/bushel, up $0.105 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $331.8/short ton, up $14.2 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Conflicting Factors Equals Mixed Day

There are so many conflicting narratives between war and peace, rain and drought, hopes and fears, that it was a mixed day of trading on Friday, and a mixed outcome for the week.  For today, corn suffered its sixth lower day in the past seven trading sessions. There was high volume in soyb...

energy

Inflation Ramps Up on Energy and Food Away from Home

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the March Consumer Price Index (CPI) today, showing that it rose 0.9 percent, seasonally adjusted, month over month, after being up 0.3 percent in February, and rose 3.3 percent over the last 12 months, not seasonally adjusted.  Energy was the...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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