World Perspectives
livestock

Cattle Market Relief on the Way, But to What End? And, Higher Tariffs on China

USDA is expected to announce details in the next few weeks on its plan to encourage cattle herd expansion after Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins recently pledged to “expand access to working lands” and “develop risk mitigation tools.” These options will be relied on rather than offering direct payments to ranchers. But these options will likely be limited in short-term impact, because of the long timeframes for market effects. During the last expansion cycle, in 2016, producers bought heifers at high prices. In theory, higher prices should start herd expansion, but drought and high input prices are also factors. Over expansion can result, subsequently leading to a price decline. And with expensive heifers, and hi...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Gain on Black Sea Tensions; Cattle Extend Rally

The CBOT initially looked set for a quiet day of post-holiday trade on Tuesday, but that was before Russian President Putin elevated political tensions in the Black Sea region. Putin threatened to increase attacks on Ukraine in response to Ukraine’s recent attacks on Russian tanker vessel...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.5/bushel, up $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.41/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.2475/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $311.6/short ton, down $3 from yes...

End of the Year: Lots to Do and a Short Time to Get it Done

Congress returns this week from their Thanksgiving recess to wrap up end-of-year priorities. There are only 13 days of legislative sessions remaining in the House, with 12 days before the 30 January deadline when the government runs out of money once again. The Senate has 12 days of session rem...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Gain on Black Sea Tensions; Cattle Extend Rally

The CBOT initially looked set for a quiet day of post-holiday trade on Tuesday, but that was before Russian President Putin elevated political tensions in the Black Sea region. Putin threatened to increase attacks on Ukraine in response to Ukraine’s recent attacks on Russian tanker vessel...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.5/bushel, up $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.41/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.2475/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $311.6/short ton, down $3 from yes...

End of the Year: Lots to Do and a Short Time to Get it Done

Congress returns this week from their Thanksgiving recess to wrap up end-of-year priorities. There are only 13 days of legislative sessions remaining in the House, with 12 days before the 30 January deadline when the government runs out of money once again. The Senate has 12 days of session rem...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

China Market Analysis

Economy China’s official data and its rhetoric do not always align and while its exports have remained robust, it has not prevented a slump in manufacturing output. Its purchasing managers index (PMI) was below 50 (contraction territory) in November, the eighth straight monthly decline. W...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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