USDA released its monthly Cattle on Feed report today showing a total inventory of cattle and calves in feed yards of 11.6 million head on 1 October. That was in-line with pre-report expectations and is the second highest October inventory on record – last year was the highest. Marketings were in line with pre-report estimates as well.

However, the report also contained some bullish news – placements were lower than expected. The pre-report estimate is based on the Olympic average (i.e., eliminating the high and the low before calculating the average) of the various analysts’ forecasts. The range of estimates was wide, with 104 percent on the top end, and 98 percent on the low end. There was a plausible case to be made...