World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Based on futures’ price action late last week and early this week, one would be expecting funds to have been net sellers in the major ag commodities, and that’s exactly what happened. Funds expanded their short soybean position by some 30,000 contracts, making it a new five-year low for this week and nearly a record low for the past five years. Additionally, funds were strong net sellers of soyoil and quickly moved from a small net short to their biggest short since early March and a new five-year low. The only bullish action in the soy complex was in soymeal, where managed money traders continue pare back shorts and cut that position in half last week. In the grains, funds expanded their corn and KC and Chicago wheat shorts and...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Turnaround Thursday but Friday is Another Day

Today’s trading opened with a head scratcher after USDA reported 135 KMT of U.S. corn sold to China. There isn’t any corn import demand in China, and if there was it probably would not originate from the U.S. It was quickly corrected to be bound to South Korea.   Nonethele...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2075/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.415/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2425/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $283.1/short ton, down $2.5 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Further Identification of Mispricing in Ag Futures

WPI offers the following analysis as a continuation of last week’s work examining mispricing opportunities in agricultural futures. Readers may recall that this work seeks to identify for the major agricultural commodities where along the forward curve current futures have the greatest er...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Turnaround Thursday but Friday is Another Day

Today’s trading opened with a head scratcher after USDA reported 135 KMT of U.S. corn sold to China. There isn’t any corn import demand in China, and if there was it probably would not originate from the U.S. It was quickly corrected to be bound to South Korea.   Nonethele...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2075/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.415/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2425/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $283.1/short ton, down $2.5 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Further Identification of Mispricing in Ag Futures

WPI offers the following analysis as a continuation of last week’s work examining mispricing opportunities in agricultural futures. Readers may recall that this work seeks to identify for the major agricultural commodities where along the forward curve current futures have the greatest er...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle Inventory and Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed report will be released tomorrow, along with the biannual July Cattle Inventory report for the first time in two years after it was suspended in 2024. For the Cattle on Feed report, analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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