World Perspectives

China Market Analysis

Moving the Goal Posts China is a critical demand driver for U.S. soybean farmers and they rallied when the White House announced on Halloween that China had committed to buying 12 MMT of soybeans by year’s end, and then 25 MMT over the coming three years. There were ample skeptics at the time. After all, China had just accelerated its November purchases of Brazilian soybeans by 67 percent, a period typically dominated by U.S. suppliers. The economics of China’s domestic prices, storage capacity and ship lineups all undermined the political assertion that Beijing would now suddenly pile on another 12 MMT of American soybeans.  China’s initial purchase of 3-4 MMT of U.S. soybeans helped stall an implosion in the market,...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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