World Perspectives

China on Imports from U.S.; Hogan’s Hero

China on Imports from U.S. The trade is said to be confused. There are conflicting reports with one stating that Beijing has ordered state-owned enterprises Cofco and Sinograin to suspend purchases of U.S. agricultural commodities with soybeans and pork mentioned, and other reports that private Chinese traders are still looking to buy. It was already questionable whether China would meet its Phase One agreement purchase levels and now it is almost certain that they will not. In addition to anger over U.S. punitive measures over Hong Kong, the political calculus has shifted to Donald Trump now vulnerable in his reelection campaign. Undermining his base of support in farm country by stopping imports is a more legitimate foreign influence on...

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livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins reversed sharply lower last week, swinging back into negative territory after six straight weeks of positive returns. Margins fell $145/head to –$75 as fed cattle prices rebounded $7/cwt (live basis), while the Choice cutout slipped nearly $7/cwt. The rapid compression...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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