World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds livestock

China Pork and Beans

China’s National Bureau of Statistics reports that pork production increased 4.6 percent in 2023 to 57.94 MMT. This makes the fourth consecutive year of production increases since the trough of 2019 at the height of the African Swine Fever outbreak. Over 80 percent of soybeans in China are processed into meal as feed ration, mostly for hogs. However, the soybean consumption data and pork production do not evenly align. The government has been discouraging farmers from feeding soybean meal, despite it providing more optimal protein in the ration. Yet hog slaughter was up 3.8 percent last year to 726.62 million hogs, implying some productivity gain despite the government’s discouragement of using soybean meal.  It should als...

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livestock

Total versus Change in Pork Consumption

China is by far the world’s largest consumer of pork, eating over half the world’s supply. This also drives feed demand and this grain supply destruction. However, its per capita consumption is lower than many other large pork producing countries. Brazil and the Philippines are the largest cons...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The big surprise in the CFTC report was that funds, through Tuesday last week, did not exit as much of their long corn position as previously thought. Expectations were for funds to have pared that position back to about 125,000 contacts, instead they shed just 7,800 contracts (4.8 percent) and...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Some Bouncing Off the Week’s Lows

Except for soyoil and SRW, the market provided a rebound today for the agricultural commodity markets. Most contracts reflected their overnight closes. Key points for today and the week include the following: New contract lows were printed this week in soybeans, soyoil, SRW, and HRS.  Only...

livestock

Total versus Change in Pork Consumption

China is by far the world’s largest consumer of pork, eating over half the world’s supply. This also drives feed demand and this grain supply destruction. However, its per capita consumption is lower than many other large pork producing countries. Brazil and the Philippines are the largest cons...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The big surprise in the CFTC report was that funds, through Tuesday last week, did not exit as much of their long corn position as previously thought. Expectations were for funds to have pared that position back to about 125,000 contacts, instead they shed just 7,800 contracts (4.8 percent) and...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Some Bouncing Off the Week’s Lows

Except for soyoil and SRW, the market provided a rebound today for the agricultural commodity markets. Most contracts reflected their overnight closes. Key points for today and the week include the following: New contract lows were printed this week in soybeans, soyoil, SRW, and HRS.  Only...

livestock

December Cattle on Feed Report in Line with Expectations

USDA released the monthly Cattle on Feed report today. The total cattle on feed inventory was 12 million head, the same as last year, as expected. Placements also were as expected, and marketings were slightly above November 2023.  12202024dj.png 22.92 KBNovember marketings as a percent of...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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