World Perspectives
wheat

China’s Wheat Demand Trend

China has been on a wheat buying binge, reportedly picking up 2 MMT of Australian wheat in October and another 2.5 MMT of French wheat. It is surprising that Russia is not the key supplier given the strategic relationship. The purchases are due to rain damage to China’s crop that will send a fifth of this year’s output to the animal feed market. However, this ignores what has been a developing trend. China’s increased consumption of wheat has been outpacing domestic output for a few years. Imported wheat jumped to the MMT level back in 2020 and has continued to grow. There may be an anomalous strain on the domestic supply this year, but trendline analysis suggests that China is turning into a long-term larger wheat import...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.485/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.3475/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soybeans closed at $9.7525/bushel, up $0.0575 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $301.6/short ton, up $3.6 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Markets Consolidate in Pre-Christmas Trade

Corn, soybeans, and soymeal closed higher ahead of the Christmas holiday, driven by short covering, technical factors, and increasing dryness in Argentina. Trading volume was predictably light on Christmas Eve, as traders showed little interest in adding risk during the seasonal trading slowdow...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGIONTurkey has revised its wheat import rules for flour millers – millers can now import up to 25 percent of their wheat supply, up from 15 percent. The remaining 75 percent must be purchased from TMO, the government’s grain company. The cha...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.485/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.3475/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soybeans closed at $9.7525/bushel, up $0.0575 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $301.6/short ton, up $3.6 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Markets Consolidate in Pre-Christmas Trade

Corn, soybeans, and soymeal closed higher ahead of the Christmas holiday, driven by short covering, technical factors, and increasing dryness in Argentina. Trading volume was predictably light on Christmas Eve, as traders showed little interest in adding risk during the seasonal trading slowdow...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGIONTurkey has revised its wheat import rules for flour millers – millers can now import up to 25 percent of their wheat supply, up from 15 percent. The remaining 75 percent must be purchased from TMO, the government’s grain company. The cha...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Firm, Soybeans Pull Back Heading into Holidays

The CBOT was mostly higher to start the holiday-shortened trading week with wheat leading the way on short-covering and despite the surging U.S. dollar. Corn followed the wheat market higher with its own support from the strong export program as USDA reported more “flash” export sales Monday. S...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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