Wheat led the grains complex higher today on a drier weather forecast for the parched Southern Plains. Corn and soybeans traded both sides of unchanged in lackluster trade. Cattle futures worked their way sideways while the hog market posted big gains. Traders are now analyzing the possible impacts of a U.S.-China spat over sorghum. Recall that China has claimed the U.S. is “dumping” sorghum on the world market (i.e., China) – a thought USDA Secretary Perdue vigorously rejected yesterday. Should China follow through with its antidumping duties, the fear now is that President Trump will retaliate with another $100 billion of potential tariffs on Chines goods. Global politics will certainly keep the market entertained...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
What You Need to Know Today: USDA reports are delayed until Tuesday due to the federal holiday on Monday. Over the weekend, President Trump announced a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. Russia warmly welcomed and confirmed this ceasefire by conducting more strikes against Ukraine. Specific...
On Saturday, 10 October, at a campaign rally in Clarksville, Tennessee, President Trump said that the U.S. and Mexico would come to terms on a new trade deal, and he said Canada does not need to be part of the deal. Trump called the coming agreement with Mexico “great” but gave no d...
Key Takeaways: The United States has steadily lost global wheat export market share since the 1970s, falling from the world's leading exporter to a projected fifth place in 2026/27. The rapid expansion of Black Sea wheat exports, driven by improved productivity and export infrastructure, has r...