World Perspectives
softs

Cocoa Consumption and Demand – How Will EUDR Affect the Industry?

Two weeks ago, WPI published an article looking at the supply-side factors in the cocoa market and what has been driving the massive price rally. With this article, we will look at the consumption and demand-side factors that are likely to influence the market and pricing for LH 2024 and into 2025. Note that the political landscape is set to change dramatically in 2025 as the EU’s Deforestation Regulation is scheduled to come into effect. This monstrous legislation will create a massive burden on the cocoa industry and has the potential to upend global cocoa trade from multiple angles.  Primer on Cocoa Demand and Use  Obviously, cocoa’s primary use is in the food industry to make products that are otherwise blah into...

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European Market Analysis

Regional News  On 20 February, Germany confirmed its first case of Newcastle disease in 18 years, after a commercial turkey flock in Neißemünde was found to be infected. Separately, Poland had two new flocks confirmed as being infected with the disease, as the country continues...

Tariff Confusion Fun; Practical Judgements and Threats to Food; Glypho Confusion; Food Inflation

Tariff Confusion Fun Reactions to the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling that general use of tariffs is not within the President’s authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) have been wildly diverse. Mass media headlines initially celebrated the “smack do...

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CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds expanding long positions across the major ag futures contracts for the fifth straight week. Funds added 95,000 contracts to their all-ags net long position, with buying in the soy complex driving about two-thirds of the increase.  The soy complex saw...

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European Market Analysis

Regional News  On 20 February, Germany confirmed its first case of Newcastle disease in 18 years, after a commercial turkey flock in Neißemünde was found to be infected. Separately, Poland had two new flocks confirmed as being infected with the disease, as the country continues...

Tariff Confusion Fun; Practical Judgements and Threats to Food; Glypho Confusion; Food Inflation

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livestock

IEEPA Tariffs Struck Down, Outlook for Livestock and Poultry

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Agricultural Outlook Forum is taking place this week, covering key agricultural topics, unveiling the 10-year long-term baseline forecast, and providing commodity outlook updates. Further, the U.S. Supreme Court struck down the International Emergency E...

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From WPI Consulting

Infrastructure investment due diligence

On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.

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