World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Commodity Speculation and the Real World

The Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index was up about 10 percent during the 5 April-25 May period with much of that increase due to soybeans, meal and corn. The primary force behind their surging prices has been the large inflow of noncommercial speculative money into these futures markets from managed commodity funds and hedge funds.The durability and dimensions of the current bull market in CME soybeans, soymeal and corn futures are truly impressive. To show in numbers just how much so, following is a table that compares 5 April and 25 May closing futures prices. For convenience, prices have been rounded to the nearest penny.The rally in soymeal and soybean prices has been remarkable. Corn’s rally has been much less so but still solid. July Chic...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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