World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Corn Market Anomaly

Noncommercial traders still retain a net long of about 244,000 contracts as of 13 January. This is a huge long position, given that the fundamental outlook for the corn futures market for the balance of 2014/15 appears to be slightly to moderately bearish.USDA's January reports (released last week) provided some mixed messages for the corn market. For corn market bulls, the U.S. corn yield was surprisingly cut 2.4 bushels/acre. With harvested acreage unchanged, that revision reduced production by 191 million bushels from the previous estimate. After various demand adjustments, USDA lowered the estimated 2014/15 carryout to 1.877 billion bushels, down 121 million from its prior forecast.For corn market bears, the 1 December corn stocks repor...

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livestock

Livestock Round Up: Cattle Margins and Distribution

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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