This week Dr. Scott Irwin of the University of Illinois Extension Service has been running commentary on Twitter regarding the delays in getting the U.S. corn and soybean crops planted. Tweets are brief by nature, and so are the following observations:

He started talking about this spring planting season turning into a “Black Swan” event for corn sometime in the last two weeks. His data shows this season of planting delays is already historic and, based on the latest weather forecast, destined to become even more so. The previous statement means there are no analog years for comparison. His research suggests that analysts should start to consider the possibility that there could be 5 million or even 10 million corn acres i...