World Perspectives
livestock

Cow-Calf Margins Down from July but Still Imply Herd Rebuilding

Since WPI’s July update on cow-calf margins, expected 2024 returns for producers have shifted lower but remain well above year-ago values and near record highs. WPI’s models indicate that revenue for the “average” Southern Plains (i.e., Kansas) cow-calf operation will hit $1,626/cow-unit this year, which would be an all-time high if realized. That forecast is down $125/cow-unit from our July outlook due to the late-summer correction in feeder cattle prices and a recent downturn in cull cow values. The revenue forecast is also 17 percent lower than what was predicted in September 2023 but decreases in feed and other costs have pushed total profitability higher.  One reason the revenue forecasts have been so impr...

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Market Commentary: Turnaround Thursday on Exports, Weather

Bears started out the week in full control of the CBOT, but their grip loosened on Thursday and bulls managed to post at turnaround in several markets. Chief among the turnaround was corn futures where an early dip below $4.00 in the December contract triggered short covering and some commercia...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 24 Corn closed at $4.0675/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close. Dec 24 Wheat closed at $5.895/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close. Nov 24 Soybeans closed at $9.8875/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close. Dec 24 Soymeal closed at $318.1/short ton, up $4.4 from yest...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: A Look at Cattle Herd Rebuilding

As WPI reported yesterday, the total supply of beef per capita is up this year over last based on imports and heavier slaughter weights; both are related to the pace of beef cow salughter. A bigger percent of fed cattle in the mix has resulted in heavier slaughter weights, as well as feeder cat...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Turnaround Thursday on Exports, Weather

Bears started out the week in full control of the CBOT, but their grip loosened on Thursday and bulls managed to post at turnaround in several markets. Chief among the turnaround was corn futures where an early dip below $4.00 in the December contract triggered short covering and some commercia...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 24 Corn closed at $4.0675/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close. Dec 24 Wheat closed at $5.895/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close. Nov 24 Soybeans closed at $9.8875/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close. Dec 24 Soymeal closed at $318.1/short ton, up $4.4 from yest...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: A Look at Cattle Herd Rebuilding

As WPI reported yesterday, the total supply of beef per capita is up this year over last based on imports and heavier slaughter weights; both are related to the pace of beef cow salughter. A bigger percent of fed cattle in the mix has resulted in heavier slaughter weights, as well as feeder cat...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Under Pressure but Hovering

The MarketToday’s IGC report increased the growth in global soybean carryout and thus reinforced the bearish trend in the November futures contract. There are still counterfactuals such as Brazil’s delayed planting, low moisture U.S. pods, plus wilt (Fusarium oxysporum) and Brown stem rot (Cada...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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