Concerns about faltering U.S. dairy exports last year have now subsided as growth has returned to the sector. This despite:
production growth leveling off as increases in milk per cow do not offset the fall in the number of dairy farms;
an 18 percent rise in dairy futures over the past year; and
the USDA/Economic Research Service (ERS) trade-weighted exchange rate for dairy products running higher at 113-114 for the past three years.
ERS shows milk and dairy product prices rising in 2024, with just dry whey and butter prices softening in 2025. Cumulatively, U.S. dairy exports have not only kept pace with competitors but have had a slightly higher CAGR over the past decade, resulting in the share of global trade ris...
What You Need to Know Today: Markets got a surprise with a corn yield of 181.2 bushels/acre in the October WASDE, above the average estimate of 177.6 bushels/acre and up from USDA’s September estimate of 178.5 bushels/acre. Although stronger demand is expected to absorb some of the addit...
Key Takeaways: On Friday afternoon, President Trump announced that Russia will “immediately supply over 300,000 Tons of Diesel Fuel” to the United States. The deal, typical of this administration, is light on details but promises an additional 500,000 tons in November and 1 m...
The USDA has lowered its 2026 red meat production forecasts slightly while forecasting a slight increase in broiler production. Beef is now projected at 24.802 billion pounds, 75 million pounds less than in September. Cow slaughter is expected to be up; however, this will be offset by lower ste...
