The year 2022 set a record for milk prices at $25.50/cwt, beating the 2014 record of $24.00/cwt. High prices will keep cows in production – and eating feed – which is why the current USDA projection for milk production is to increase, which will ironically pressure prices. The production increase is only for 1 percent, so 2023 prices are projected to average $21.60/cwt. In context, however, the all-milk price in 2021 was $18.53/cwt. While there are expectations of marginally lower demand, based on the market in 2022 (with final data yet to be released), over time dairy demand has remained remarkable, and any reduction would come off of an impressive growing trend. According to USDA statistics, from 2017 to 2021 per capita...
What You Need to Know Today: The corn and soybean markets closed slightly higher in low-volume trade. The wheat market was mixed, with HRW continuing its downward trek on improved moisture. As expected, the bearish cattle on feed report drove down cattle prices and pulled hogs down with it. Mi...
Monday, 25 May is a U.S. holiday, and both the markets and our office will be closed. Please note that the next issue of Ag Perspectives will be published on Tuesday, 26 May. The WPI staff wishes everyone a safe and enjoyable holiday weekend...
USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report was released today. The total number of cattle on feed in feedlots with 1,000 head or more capacity amounted to 11.6 million head, 102 percent of last year. Source: USDA, WPI Placements were up, but part of that is attributable to persistent drought c...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.