Commodity markets are weakening both due to higher interest rates depressing demand and slowed world trade, and because many are traded based on the dollar, which has skyrocketed in value. Technically, it can be argued that it is the euro/pound/yen that have weakened since the dollar’s value has maintained relative value to emerging market currencies excluding China and Russia. Though emerging markets still face the risk of distressed debt as they’ve overspent reserves to slow their own inflationary pressures. The bottom line is that global trading links to the dollar remain strong, and the Federal Reserve’s effort to slow the U.S. economy is concurrently slowing global GDP growth. UNCTAD sees global development sta...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
What You Need to Know Today: The corn and soybean markets closed slightly higher in low-volume trade. The wheat market was mixed, with HRW continuing its downward trek on improved moisture. As expected, the bearish cattle on feed report drove down cattle prices and pulled hogs down with it. Mi...
Monday, 25 May is a U.S. holiday, and both the markets and our office will be closed. Please note that the next issue of Ag Perspectives will be published on Tuesday, 26 May. The WPI staff wishes everyone a safe and enjoyable holiday weekend...
USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report was released today. The total number of cattle on feed in feedlots with 1,000 head or more capacity amounted to 11.6 million head, 102 percent of last year. Source: USDA, WPI Placements were up, but part of that is attributable to persistent drought c...