World Perspectives

Double-Edged Assistance; Walk and Chew Gum; European Turnover

Double-Edged Assistance The trade mitigation package being floated by the Trump administration is again generous to soybeans but stingy toward corn. In the earlier package, corn received less than 1 percent of the payment given to soybeans. The numbers being thrown around for round two quadruples the amount to corn but still leaves it at just 2 percent of the soybean assistance. However, a positive spin from exporters of corn is that at least that commodity is unlikely to face countervailing duties in foreign markets since the assistance is less than 5 percent of the value of the corn.   Walk and Chew Gum Frustrated by the unrelenting efforts of congressional Democrats to investigate him, President Trump announced that he will not...

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Recent Market Volatility Increases Futures Mispricing

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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