World Perspectives
wheat

Durum Was Hot

Sosland Publishing notes that the pandemic boosted pasta and therefore durum wheat consumption. Exports by Italy jumped 30 percent and Strategie Grains notes that EU consumption rose 6 percent as home consumption and stockpiling of pasta increased. U.S. durum use increased last year relative to the year before though import data appears to show recent declines.  Durum wheat is most important in the Mediterranean basin, and production in the U.S. Northern Plains and Europe have trended downward more recently as it has increased in significance in Canada. Part of the problem is that durum yields are more volatile than other wheat classes. Durum fetches a premium over other wheat classes but tends to be contract grown in the U.S. and s...

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Recent Market Volatility Increases Futures Mispricing

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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