World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Early 2019 Acreage Forecasts

In advance of USDA’s winter wheat acreage report on Friday, WPI has prepared early forecasts of 2018/19 crop planted area for the U.S. Given current market dynamics, it comes as no surprise that our research finds corn acres will increase at the expense of soybeans. Wheat area will increase slightly and take some area formerly occupied by soybeans, while cotton and barley area will decrease.  WPI’s methodology used seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) models to estimate each crop’s acreage while accounting for relationships between each crop (e.g., tradeoffs between corn and soybean area). Variables included in the model were harvest contract futures prices, cash prices for each crop, the ratio of various crop prices...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report highlighted funds’ increasingly bearish view on ag commodities with managed money traders emerging as net sellers across the major grain and oilseeds futures. Funds’ net position across the soy complex, corn, wheat, and livestock futures fell 30 percent la...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Good Weather, Unknown Trading Relations, Positioned for Monday

It was another day of trading in the green in the overnight for grains and the soy complex only to fail following through in the day session for wheat and soymeal. All major ags opened higher but soymeal quickly reversed, and all three wheats headed south about an hour into the session. Monday&...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.4975/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.2175/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5175/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $294.1/short ton, down $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report highlighted funds’ increasingly bearish view on ag commodities with managed money traders emerging as net sellers across the major grain and oilseeds futures. Funds’ net position across the soy complex, corn, wheat, and livestock futures fell 30 percent la...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Good Weather, Unknown Trading Relations, Positioned for Monday

It was another day of trading in the green in the overnight for grains and the soy complex only to fail following through in the day session for wheat and soymeal. All major ags opened higher but soymeal quickly reversed, and all three wheats headed south about an hour into the session. Monday&...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.4975/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.2175/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5175/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $294.1/short ton, down $0...

Trade Deal with UK

Yesterday, President Trump announced from the Oval Office a trade deal “in principle” with the UK, the first of its kind following the reciprocal tariffs imposed by the U.S. While details are still lacking, according to the Administration, the agreement includes increased market acc...

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From WPI Consulting

Weighing in on strategic realignment

WPI’s team was retained by the governing board of a U.S. industry organization to review a decision, reached by vote, to invest significant assets into the development and management of an export trading company. WPI’s team conducted a formal review of this decision and concluded that the current level of market saturation would limit the benefits of the investment. Based on WPI’s analysis and recommended actions, the board subsequently reversed its decision and undertook a strategic planning effort to identify more impactful investments. On behalf of numerous clients, WPI has not only assisted in identifying strategic paths but also advised their implementation.

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