World Perspectives
biofuel energy

Ethanol: USDA versus EIA

USDA released its baseline projections for 2018-2027 last week on the same day that the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) issued its Annual Energy Outlook (AEO). While the USDA baseline projects long-term commodity trends with no domestic or external shocks and a normal weather pattern, the AEO is a modeling of energy markets under various scenarios from high growth to low growth through 2050. However, the AEO does have the average most-likely scenario known as the reference case, which can be compared with USDA’s 10-year baseline. The USDA baseline forecasts corn use for domestic ethanol during the crop year, while AEO forecasts domestic ethanol production in terms of million barrels per day during a calendar year. WPI ha...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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Summary of Futures

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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