World Perspectives
farm-inputs

F2F Proxy; Rolling Inflation; Selective View of Tensions

F2F Proxy Greens in Europe have been downplaying the impact on production from reduced use of inputs, arguing that studies showing lower production are flawed. Whether the use of inputs like fertilizer are reduced due to government restrictions on use (F2F) or tempered by record high prices, the impact on output should be the same. The price of fertilizer is up four-fold from 2017 and while the elasticity of demand for this product is relatively small due to the lack of substitutes, it is nonetheless having an adverse impact. Considering high fertilizer costs, farmers in Europe are reportedly looking at their marginal costs and are thinking about reduced plantings. Corn yields in Brazil are predicted to fall based on the tighter supply of...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Geopolitics Skews the Week

It was another day of big volume in the soy complex. While soybeans closed higher for a fourth session, corn and wheat failed to follow, or perhaps their drag pulled soybeans back to fundamental reality. There are still no new export sales.  The Chinese are smart, and if they intend to buy...

biofuel

Biofuels Policy: 45Z and E15

The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) has signed off on a rule for the 45Z tax credit. The credit was created by the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 during the Biden Administration for the production and sale of low-emission transportation fuels. It was updated and extended as part of the r...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.3025/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.2975/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $11.1525/bushel, up $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $303.6/short ton, up $0.4...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Geopolitics Skews the Week

It was another day of big volume in the soy complex. While soybeans closed higher for a fourth session, corn and wheat failed to follow, or perhaps their drag pulled soybeans back to fundamental reality. There are still no new export sales.  The Chinese are smart, and if they intend to buy...

biofuel

Biofuels Policy: 45Z and E15

The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) has signed off on a rule for the 45Z tax credit. The credit was created by the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 during the Biden Administration for the production and sale of low-emission transportation fuels. It was updated and extended as part of the r...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.3025/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.2975/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $11.1525/bushel, up $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $303.6/short ton, up $0.4...

soy-oilseeds

Volatility and Opportunity Abound in Soy Pricing

Soybean futures and the broader soy complex saw heightened volatility this week on a combination of domestic and international demand drivers. Following these moves, it is relevant to examine what seasonal pricing patterns suggest for the futures market, as well as what the implications are for...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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