World Perspectives
farm-inputs

F2F Proxy; Rolling Inflation; Selective View of Tensions

F2F Proxy Greens in Europe have been downplaying the impact on production from reduced use of inputs, arguing that studies showing lower production are flawed. Whether the use of inputs like fertilizer are reduced due to government restrictions on use (F2F) or tempered by record high prices, the impact on output should be the same. The price of fertilizer is up four-fold from 2017 and while the elasticity of demand for this product is relatively small due to the lack of substitutes, it is nonetheless having an adverse impact. Considering high fertilizer costs, farmers in Europe are reportedly looking at their marginal costs and are thinking about reduced plantings. Corn yields in Brazil are predicted to fall based on the tighter supply of...

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livestock

Livestock Round Up: Cattle Inventory Report Preview

USDA’s semi-annual cattle report will be issued on Friday. The outlook calls for the cattle herd to be 86.4 million head, down from 86.7 million head last January, making it the seventh consecutive decline since 2019 and putting the cattle herd down 2 percent from the previous low point i...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Weak Dollar Triggers Grains Rally; Wheat Breaks Major Resistance Levels

Grains rallied across the board overnight and through Wednesday’s day session as a plunging U.S. dollar made U.S. exports more competitive. The move is especially valuable as the Brazilian soybean harvest accelerates and could keep U.S. shipments flowing. The cheaper greenback is also cri...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.3/bushel, up $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.36/bushel, up $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.75/bushel, up $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $297.8/short ton, up $3.8 from yest...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: Cattle Inventory Report Preview

USDA’s semi-annual cattle report will be issued on Friday. The outlook calls for the cattle herd to be 86.4 million head, down from 86.7 million head last January, making it the seventh consecutive decline since 2019 and putting the cattle herd down 2 percent from the previous low point i...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Weak Dollar Triggers Grains Rally; Wheat Breaks Major Resistance Levels

Grains rallied across the board overnight and through Wednesday’s day session as a plunging U.S. dollar made U.S. exports more competitive. The move is especially valuable as the Brazilian soybean harvest accelerates and could keep U.S. shipments flowing. The cheaper greenback is also cri...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.3/bushel, up $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.36/bushel, up $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.75/bushel, up $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $297.8/short ton, up $3.8 from yest...

soy-oilseeds

Thailand Soy Tariffs Update

Thailand’s market is now officially reopened to soybean and soymeal imports as the government has resolved a lapse in tariff policy that caused import duties to default to prohibitively high levels earlier this month. On 27 January, the Thai Cabinet approved the continuation of its market...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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