World Perspectives
farm-inputs

F2F Proxy; Rolling Inflation; Selective View of Tensions

F2F Proxy Greens in Europe have been downplaying the impact on production from reduced use of inputs, arguing that studies showing lower production are flawed. Whether the use of inputs like fertilizer are reduced due to government restrictions on use (F2F) or tempered by record high prices, the impact on output should be the same. The price of fertilizer is up four-fold from 2017 and while the elasticity of demand for this product is relatively small due to the lack of substitutes, it is nonetheless having an adverse impact. Considering high fertilizer costs, farmers in Europe are reportedly looking at their marginal costs and are thinking about reduced plantings. Corn yields in Brazil are predicted to fall based on the tighter supply of...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5775/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $6.1625/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.71/bushel, up $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $316.4/short ton, up $1.5 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Rally on USDA Data, Hopes for End to Middle East Conflict

Except for lean hog futures, the CBOT and CME markets were higher on Tuesday in a combination of bullish factors. The day’s strength started after the Wall Street Journal reported that President Trump told aides he is willing to end hostilities in the Middle East even if the Strait of Hor...

Lots To Do for Congress When They Return to Washington

Congress is in recess this week ahead of the Easter and Passover holidays, with much yet to do, including ending a partial shutdown and considering the “skinny” farm bill. Congress is scheduled to return on 13 April, though that may change, especially if the Homeland Security fundin...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5775/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $6.1625/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.71/bushel, up $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $316.4/short ton, up $1.5 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Rally on USDA Data, Hopes for End to Middle East Conflict

Except for lean hog futures, the CBOT and CME markets were higher on Tuesday in a combination of bullish factors. The day’s strength started after the Wall Street Journal reported that President Trump told aides he is willing to end hostilities in the Middle East even if the Strait of Hor...

Lots To Do for Congress When They Return to Washington

Congress is in recess this week ahead of the Easter and Passover holidays, with much yet to do, including ending a partial shutdown and considering the “skinny” farm bill. Congress is scheduled to return on 13 April, though that may change, especially if the Homeland Security fundin...

China Market Analysis

SPS Barriers India’s rice exports to China have been accelerating, but Beijing recently rejected three shipments of non-Basmati rice, citing genetically modified content. The technical rejection is notable because China’s Certification and Inspection Group had already pre-cleared th...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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