What will continued low crop prices and debt accumulation mean for production and policy?Macroeconomic factors in 2016 (i.e., uneven global economic growth and shifting currency values) are still in play in 2017, according to USDA testimony at the House Agriculture Committee last week. Economic growth remains slower globally than in the U.S., leaving the U.S. dollar strong against the currencies of importing countries. In turn, that essentially increases the effective prices of imports in local currency despite large domestic and global stocks, which continue to be bearish on market prices for most commodities. Moreover, the strong U.S. dollar undermines U.S. commodity export competitiveness against other countries. In short, these macro fa...
Communicating importance of value-added products
Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.
Beef packer margins improved to -$130/head last week, up $44 from the prior week as sharply lower fed cattle prices more than offset continued seasonal weakness in the Choice cutout. The cutout declined to $373/cwt while fed cattle prices fell to $238/cwt, allowing packer spreads to recover for...
What You Need to Know Today: The conflict between the U.S. and Iran continues to escalate with the two sides exchanging attacks over the weekend. President Trump said Iran “will pay” for recent attacks that claimed the lives of U.S. troops stationed in Jordan. There are some signs...