World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Farm Policy Risk; Trade Policy Risk

With the increasing attention in Washington on income inequality, any focus in the future on what parts of agriculture have money and assets while concurrently receiving large subsidies will create a risk to that dynamic. Farm Subsidy Risk The last time agricultural commodity prices were this low was 2009/10. Moreover, the vast majority of soybean, corn and wheat farmers selected farm bill policy protection under the Agricultural Risk Coverage (ARC) program, a “shallow loss” revenue protection system that has been adjusting downward based on a rolling average of the previous five years of revenue, either at the county or individual farm level. This means that farmers’ income risk grows with every succeeding year in which the market is in...

Related Articles
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn Falls, Soyoil Rallies on Trump Tariff Plans; Hogs Hit New Highs

News from Washington continued to be the primary driver of CBOT price action again on Tuesday, with most of the day’s action coming from plans for new import tariffs from President-elect Trump. The other news from Washington is the USDA APHIS’ ban on live cattle imports from Mexico, due to the...

Channeling Hamilton; Gastronationalism Gone Awry; Science Reverts to Nonpartisan; Black Friday Deals

Channeling HamiltonAlexander Hamilton, the first U.S. Secretary of the Treasury, encouraged the Tariff Act of 1789, the Tariff Act of 1790, and the Tariff Act of 1792. He used tariffs to fund the government and protect domestic industries from British exports. President-elect Trump has pledged...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 24 Corn closed at $4.2/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.58/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soybeans closed at $9.835/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soymeal closed at $291.4/short ton, down $4.5 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn Falls, Soyoil Rallies on Trump Tariff Plans; Hogs Hit New Highs

News from Washington continued to be the primary driver of CBOT price action again on Tuesday, with most of the day’s action coming from plans for new import tariffs from President-elect Trump. The other news from Washington is the USDA APHIS’ ban on live cattle imports from Mexico, due to the...

Channeling Hamilton; Gastronationalism Gone Awry; Science Reverts to Nonpartisan; Black Friday Deals

Channeling HamiltonAlexander Hamilton, the first U.S. Secretary of the Treasury, encouraged the Tariff Act of 1789, the Tariff Act of 1790, and the Tariff Act of 1792. He used tariffs to fund the government and protect domestic industries from British exports. President-elect Trump has pledged...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 24 Corn closed at $4.2/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.58/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soybeans closed at $9.835/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soymeal closed at $291.4/short ton, down $4.5 from...

energy

Energy Outlook

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its short-term energy outlook (STEO) earlier this month, with outlooks for crude oil, natural gas, and propane. The price outlook is for lower crude prices, higher for natural gas, and flat for propane in the Midwest, and slightly lower...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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