As WPI has written about several times recently, the beef industry is eagerly awaiting the January Cattle Inventory report from USDA to see whether producers are starting to expand the herd. This information will be valuable for gauging cattle supplies in 2025 and 2026 and will help set pricing expectations. The forward-looking eagerness is not isolated to the beef industry, however, as the dairy industry awaits the report for similar reasons. WPI recently conducted an econometric exercise to forecast the key figures in the 2025 January Cattle Inventory report and our forecasts surprisingly indicate a minimal increase in beef cow numbers and a small overall decline in cattle inventories. WPI’s approach was to model each of the relevant...
What You Need to Know Today: The hot, dry weather forecast continues to drive strength in grain futures with corn and soybeans hitting another day of strong gains. Monday’s Crop Progress and Conditions data were in line with market expectations and showed relatively few concerns for the...
Yesterday we wrote about the Q1 GDP numbers and the June employment reports in an article entitled Real GDP for Q1 Relying on AI Buildout, Held Back by Consumer Spending. That article mentioned that consumer spending had become a drag on GDP. Nonetheless, real GDP in Q1 was revised upward to 2...
Key Takeaways: The Middle East and North Africa's arid climate and limited water resources have created a structural dependence on imported wheat. Government wheat tenders in major importing countries serve as important benchmarks for global trade, providing insight into exporter competitivene...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.