Transportation and Freight Market Comments Dry Bulk Markets Dry bulk markets continue to drift sideways or lower as they wait for improved cargo demand. This past week saw continued limited cargo demand and vessel owners are trying defend rates while buyers bring unmotivated inquiries. The exception to that statement is the Capesize market where a surge in “Guinean bauxite exports to China” helped push the sector higher. Additionally, the U.S.-China trade war truce helped push iron ore futures to a five-week high on expectations that China’s steel manufacturing will increase again. The Capesize FFA 5TC curve rallied again this week with Australian miners buying in both paper and physical markets to cover June s...
What You Need to Know Today: Agricultural commodities were mostly lower on the day, with red-hot soyoil a notable exception. Export sales were a bit underwhelming, particularly for corn with export sales down 52 percent week-over-week. The weakness in ag markets tracked crude oil weakness wit...
With the war in Iran affecting fuel and fertilizer prices, higher tariffs, weak commodity prices, ag labor constraints, and other factors, farm bankruptcies are now at a 6-year high, a signal of growing stress. During the month of April, 62 Chapter 12 bankruptcies were filed, which is a 1...
Food Inflation The Open Markets Institute, which is notably funded by several “anonymous” donors and liberal foundations, obtained a guest editorial in the New York Times in which they blame agribusiness concentration for higher grocery prices. This is their schtick and it is politi...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.