World Perspectives

Friday’s Tariffs; China and Europe; MAHA Outlook

Friday’s Tariffs Brazil and India are two of the bigger countries facing President Trump’s tariff escalation this Friday, and both will receive extra punishment. U.S. tariffs on Brazil will be 50 percent as extra was added due to Mr. Trump’s opposition to the judicial treatment of former conservative Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro. Estimates are that Brazilian beef exporters could lose $1 billion due to the tariffs. India is facing 25 percent tariffs, plus more if they continue buying oil and military equipment from Russia.  U.S. agricultural export groups have been delusional in seeing India as a huge potential growth market. Like China, India continues to develop its own GMO crops while denying access for equiva...

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Market Commentary: January WASDE is the Future

The pre-holiday risk-off, profit-taking mode continued on the last trading day of 2025. Traders closed out the calendar year with the expected low-level enthusiasm. Positions were tidied up with few fresh inputs as the past is the past and the future is now the USDA January WASDE report. ...

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Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4025/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.07/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.475/bushel, down $0.1475 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $299.4/short ton, down $...

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Beef and Pork Past, Present and Future

USDA’s November slaughter data helps decode some of the outlook for 2026. There are the known knowns - cattle and hog numbers are down, weights are up, and the breeding inventory for cattle is growing while for hogs it remains constant. But stabilized dairy cow slaughter, lower sow slaugh...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: January WASDE is the Future

The pre-holiday risk-off, profit-taking mode continued on the last trading day of 2025. Traders closed out the calendar year with the expected low-level enthusiasm. Positions were tidied up with few fresh inputs as the past is the past and the future is now the USDA January WASDE report. ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4025/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.07/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.475/bushel, down $0.1475 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $299.4/short ton, down $...

livestock

Beef and Pork Past, Present and Future

USDA’s November slaughter data helps decode some of the outlook for 2026. There are the known knowns - cattle and hog numbers are down, weights are up, and the breeding inventory for cattle is growing while for hogs it remains constant. But stabilized dairy cow slaughter, lower sow slaugh...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Export Sales Fail to Excite Soybeans; Corn, Wheat Down on Technical Trade

The CBOT traded mostly lower on Tuesday with funds remaining dedicated sellers. The motivation for their selling stems partially from pre-holiday risk-off trading and partially from the technical weakness enveloping the charts. Corn was the downside leader for the second straight day, though ob...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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