World Perspectives
wheat softs

Fungibility for Food Security

There is speculation that rice prices will increase due a smaller crop in India, the world’s largest exporter, and the impacts of El Niño. That is not currently reflected in futures prices, which have fallen 18 percent from their high at the beginning of the year. India’s rice stocks have declined 8.5 percent from 2022/23 levels, but the government has increased the minimum purchase price and that will incentivize more production. At the same time, global wheat ending stocks are rising, including a 47 percent increase in India’s wheat carryover.  Although rice may carry a preference in Asia, wheat demand has been growing much faster than rice demand. It has nutritional advantages over traditional white rice su...

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Market Commentary: Geopolitics Skews the Week

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Market Commentary: Soybean Spillover Rides Another Day

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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It was another day of big volume in the soy complex. While soybeans closed higher for a fourth session, corn and wheat failed to follow, or perhaps their drag pulled soybeans back to fundamental reality. There are still no new export sales.  The Chinese are smart, and if they intend to buy...

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Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.3025/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.2975/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $11.1525/bushel, up $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $303.6/short ton, up $0.4...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soybean Spillover Rides Another Day

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.35/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.3525/bushel, up $0.085 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $11.1225/bushel, up $0.2 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $303.2/short ton, up $7 from yeste...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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