World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Further Identification of Mispricing in Ag Futures

WPI offers the following analysis as a continuation of last week’s work examining mispricing opportunities in agricultural futures. Readers may recall that this work seeks to identify for the major agricultural commodities where along the forward curve current futures have the greatest error (mispricing) relative to predicted values and, simultaneously, the greatest odds for a large move in prices. WPI analyzes all the listed commodity futures contracts for the major markets and predicts prices forward for 24 weeks. We then identify the three contracts and timeframes which have the biggest mispricing opportunities and the largest potential for 10- and 20-percent price moves.  The tables below identify not only the contracts where...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: An Appearance of Weakness

Bullish sentiments have been driving the CBOT higher since last week’s U.S.-China trade talks, but bears finally made an appearance on Tuesday. The CBOT saw the entire soy complex pullback as China has not confirmed anything about what the Trump administration claims was agreed to in Sout...

Supreme Court to Hear Tariff Case Tomorrow

The Supreme Court will hear the case on President Trump’s tariffs tomorrow, and leading into the court session the White House is exuding confidence that the Court will uphold the President’s tariff powers under the 1977 International Economic Emergency Powers Act (IEEPA). However,...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: An Appearance of Weakness

Bullish sentiments have been driving the CBOT higher since last week’s U.S.-China trade talks, but bears finally made an appearance on Tuesday. The CBOT saw the entire soy complex pullback as China has not confirmed anything about what the Trump administration claims was agreed to in Sout...

Supreme Court to Hear Tariff Case Tomorrow

The Supreme Court will hear the case on President Trump’s tariffs tomorrow, and leading into the court session the White House is exuding confidence that the Court will uphold the President’s tariff powers under the 1977 International Economic Emergency Powers Act (IEEPA). However,...

Inspiring Change; Transactional Ag; USMCA Attack

Inspiring Change U.S. President Donald Trump’s assault on NATO was unpleasant, especially for Europe. Yet the result was European capitals finally agreeing to boost their own financial commitment to the pact instead of continuing to free ride on U.S. taxpayers. Now the same inspiration fo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.315/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.5025/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.215/bushel, down $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $317.4/short ton, down $3...

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From WPI Consulting

Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

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