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Geopolitical Trade Substitution

Historically, Canada has been the fourth largest producer of green peas and the largest exporter of the product. Canada’s global market share for the green pea trade was 37.9 percent in 2022, while Russia supplied 13.7 percent. Meanwhile, China is both the largest producer and importer of green peas, taking in more than a quarter of traded supply. However, supply chains are increasingly being realigned according to geopolitics. Canada previously supplied 95 percent of the Chinese import market but two years ago Beijing opened its market to Russian green peas. This past year Russia surpassed Canada in supplying the Middle Kingdom.  In 2023/24, Russia supplied 1.13 MMT or 49.1 percent of the Chinese green pea import market. Canada...

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From WPI Consulting

Weighing in on strategic realignment

WPI’s team was retained by the governing board of a U.S. industry organization to review a decision, reached by vote, to invest significant assets into the development and management of an export trading company. WPI’s team conducted a formal review of this decision and concluded that the current level of market saturation would limit the benefits of the investment. Based on WPI’s analysis and recommended actions, the board subsequently reversed its decision and undertook a strategic planning effort to identify more impactful investments. On behalf of numerous clients, WPI has not only assisted in identifying strategic paths but also advised their implementation.

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