World Perspectives
livestock

Heifers on Feed Drop Below Replacement Heifers

One of the metrics we’ve been watching as a sign of herd rebuilding is the number of heifers as a percent of on feed inventory. However, we’re in new territory. For the first time since heifer on feed reporting began in 1996, the inventory of replacement heifers has fallen below Heifers on Feed inventory. Even during the tightest inventory levels in 2013, the gap was more than 1.3 million head greater for replacement heifers.   There are a number of factors that can help explain this other than tight cattle supplies and drought in the U.S. leading to herd liquidation. First is the supply of cattle coming from Mexico. That supply was interrupted by the discovery of New World Screwworm in November. Between late November and t...

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Exceeding Expectations, Perhaps on a Thread

Commodity markets opened mostly in the red but managed a turnaround late in the session for corn, beans and wheat. There was not much fundamentally driving the market. Export sales were solid but there have been no new flash sales reports for several days. By contrast, equity markets opened mix...

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Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for August 15-21, 2025  Wheat: Net sales of 579,800 metric tons (MT) for 2025/2026 were up 12 percent from the previous week, but down 10 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 1,005,600 MT--a marketing-year high--were up noticeably from the p...

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U.S. and Canadian Livestock Inventories

Yesterday, NASS and Statistics Canada released the 1 July cattle inventory in the two countries. Combined, the inventory was 106.1 million head, which was down to 99 percent of 2023 (the USDA suspended the July inventory report in 2024 due to budget constraints) and down to 92.4 percent of 2020...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Exceeding Expectations, Perhaps on a Thread

Commodity markets opened mostly in the red but managed a turnaround late in the session for corn, beans and wheat. There was not much fundamentally driving the market. Export sales were solid but there have been no new flash sales reports for several days. By contrast, equity markets opened mix...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for August 15-21, 2025  Wheat: Net sales of 579,800 metric tons (MT) for 2025/2026 were up 12 percent from the previous week, but down 10 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 1,005,600 MT--a marketing-year high--were up noticeably from the p...

livestock

U.S. and Canadian Livestock Inventories

Yesterday, NASS and Statistics Canada released the 1 July cattle inventory in the two countries. Combined, the inventory was 106.1 million head, which was down to 99 percent of 2023 (the USDA suspended the July inventory report in 2024 due to budget constraints) and down to 92.4 percent of 2020...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1/bushel, up $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.29/bushel, up $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.48/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $287.3/short ton, down $0.9 from yest...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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