World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Identifying Mispricing in Ag Futures: Corn, Soybeans Offer Opportunity

Readers will likely be familiar with WPI’s work over the past month or so exploring mispricing opportunities in agricultural futures. WPI’s work in this area seeks to identify (for the major agricultural commodities) where along the forward curve current futures prices have the greatest error (mispricing) relative to predicted values. Simultaneously, our work attempts to combine this mispricing with identification of markets that have the greatest odds for a large move in prices. This combination of discovering large, anticipated forecast errors with large predicted volatility have proven successful in back testing in identifying speculative trade and key risk management opportunities.  WPI’s methods for this analysis...

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WPI Grain Transportation Report

Dry bulk freight markets continued to strengthen this week, this time with the Supramax and Panamax sectors in the lead. Improved grain demand off the U.S. East Coast  and supported values, alongside stronger interest in coal from South America. Baltic coal demand was also said to be &ldqu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Exceeding Expectations, Perhaps on a Thread

Commodity markets opened mostly in the red but managed a turnaround late in the session for corn, beans and wheat. There was not much fundamentally driving the market. Export sales were solid but there have been no new flash sales reports for several days. By contrast, equity markets opened mix...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for August 15-21, 2025  Wheat: Net sales of 579,800 metric tons (MT) for 2025/2026 were up 12 percent from the previous week, but down 10 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 1,005,600 MT--a marketing-year high--were up noticeably from the p...

WPI Grain Transportation Report

Dry bulk freight markets continued to strengthen this week, this time with the Supramax and Panamax sectors in the lead. Improved grain demand off the U.S. East Coast  and supported values, alongside stronger interest in coal from South America. Baltic coal demand was also said to be &ldqu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Exceeding Expectations, Perhaps on a Thread

Commodity markets opened mostly in the red but managed a turnaround late in the session for corn, beans and wheat. There was not much fundamentally driving the market. Export sales were solid but there have been no new flash sales reports for several days. By contrast, equity markets opened mix...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for August 15-21, 2025  Wheat: Net sales of 579,800 metric tons (MT) for 2025/2026 were up 12 percent from the previous week, but down 10 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 1,005,600 MT--a marketing-year high--were up noticeably from the p...

livestock

U.S. and Canadian Livestock Inventories

Yesterday, NASS and Statistics Canada released the 1 July cattle inventory in the two countries. Combined, the inventory was 106.1 million head, which was down to 99 percent of 2023 (the USDA suspended the July inventory report in 2024 due to budget constraints) and down to 92.4 percent of 2020...

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From WPI Consulting

Accountability and a comprehensive approach to export programming

WPI’s team helped construct a strategic approach to develop, implement, and track promotional activities in 8 key regions across the globe for an agricultural export association. With continued progress measurement and strategic advisory services from WPI, the association has seen its ROI from investments in promotional programming increase by 44 percent over the past 5 years. Not only does this type of holistic approach to organizational strategy provide measurable results to track and analyze, it fosters top-down and bottom-up organizational accountability.

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