World Perspectives
feed-grains biofuel

India’s Ethanol Conundrum and Impact on Global Markets

India is attempting to pursue its climate goals through the expansion of biofuel blending into transportation fuels, but the dynamics of the country’s agricultural systems and protectionist trade policies may stymie these efforts. The USDA recently issued an outlook that calls for India to switch from a net corn exporter of about 3 MMT annually to a net corn importer for 2024, with imports of 1.1 MMT. The projection caught many by surprise and created questions about the long-term outlook for the country’s biofuel and ethanol markets, as well as import trends for ethanol and corn. WPI’s analysis finds that India’s aggressive biofuel policy coupled with a ban on fuel ethanol imports will necessitate a significant expa...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Waiting for Confirmation or Contradiction

The CBOT was mostly in the red to start the week with the bullishness from Friday’s WASDE report failing to trigger enthusiasm from bulls this week. Corn and soybeans both tried to rally and follow Friday’s bullish action, but quickly triggered farmer/hedge selling and profit taking...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2325/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.25/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4275/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.7/short ton, down $2.9...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn  Argentina’s 2024/25 corn harvest is virtually complete, with only isolated fields still being collected. Final output is expected to exceed 50 MMT. Attention now shifts to the 2025/26 crop, where planted area is projected at 7.8 million hectares — surpassed only by the 20...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Waiting for Confirmation or Contradiction

The CBOT was mostly in the red to start the week with the bullishness from Friday’s WASDE report failing to trigger enthusiasm from bulls this week. Corn and soybeans both tried to rally and follow Friday’s bullish action, but quickly triggered farmer/hedge selling and profit taking...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2325/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.25/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4275/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.7/short ton, down $2.9...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn  Argentina’s 2024/25 corn harvest is virtually complete, with only isolated fields still being collected. Final output is expected to exceed 50 MMT. Attention now shifts to the 2025/26 crop, where planted area is projected at 7.8 million hectares — surpassed only by the 20...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Milling Wheat  Global wheat futures all hit new contract lows last week with strong Russian exports (at cheaper prices), larger global production estimates, and few weather risks driving the bearish momentum. Markets managed to pare back those losses, however, by the week’s end and a...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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