World Perspectives

Inflation Trumps Trade Policy; Grain but not Freedom; Non-cyclical Labor

Inflation Trumps Trade Policy USTR Katherine Tai threw in the towel this week and conceded that reducing tariffs on Chinese goods is among the Biden Administration’s policy options. She qualified that this is true as long as it does not undermine longer-term efforts to encourage China to end unfair trade practices, but in the end her effort to maintain leverage over China lost out to the White House goal of lowering inflation. The tariffs imposed by former President Trump were called a trade policy “gift” to the Biden Administration, but they seem unlikely to be resumed even when the inflationary pressures subside. Grain but not Freedom Agriculture Minister Cem Özdemir says Germany will help get grain exported out...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Week of Turmoil, Uncertainty, but Not All Dark

There was little in terms of new fundamentals today, and on generally lower volume the board saw mixed trading and results. It was a big week for HRW as the acuity of the drought in the Southern Plains becomes clearer. Overall, the trends are as follows: It was the fourth week in a row lower f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.585/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.57/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.16/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $305.9/short ton, down $1.2 f...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 14 March)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 14 March 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight Dry-bulk markets were mostly sideways last week with neither buyers nor sellers wanting to make big moves amid the political and tariff uncertainty. The rapid changes to U.S. trade policy and ta...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Week of Turmoil, Uncertainty, but Not All Dark

There was little in terms of new fundamentals today, and on generally lower volume the board saw mixed trading and results. It was a big week for HRW as the acuity of the drought in the Southern Plains becomes clearer. Overall, the trends are as follows: It was the fourth week in a row lower f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.585/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.57/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.16/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $305.9/short ton, down $1.2 f...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 14 March)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 14 March 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight Dry-bulk markets were mostly sideways last week with neither buyers nor sellers wanting to make big moves amid the political and tariff uncertainty. The rapid changes to U.S. trade policy and ta...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

CONAB Forecasts Record Soybean Production

Brazilian soybean farmers will reap an even bigger crop in the 2024/25 season than previously expected, according to forecasts released by the Brazilian crop agency CONAB yesterday.   Brazil's soybean crop, which farmers are harvesting now, is expected to total 167.37 MMT, about 1.3 M...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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