World Perspectives
livestock

Inverted Choice-Select Spread

Today's USDA Daily Boxed Beef Cutout Value report showed that rare phenomenon of an inverted Choice-Select price spread. Cutout values for Choice beef were $192.94 and cutout values for select were $193.21. This is only the 14th time in history that this has occurred, but it has become less rare of late (three of the four past spring seasons). The last time the spread was inverted was April 2012, before that March 2011, and prior to that April 2009. Before 2009 the spread had not been negative since 1989.In short, an inverted spread says that demand for lower grade beef is greater than higher grade beef. Obviously, this is a phenomenon that doesn't last long. A better understanding is that there are essentially two markets for beef: a mar...

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Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.4725/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.8025/bushel, down $0.1775 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.62/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $314.1/short ton, up $2.3...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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