The global coronavirus outbreak is unprecedented in many ways, which makes forecasting extraordinarily difficult. The SARS outbreak hitting China between November 2002 and July 2003 had a substantially higher morbidity rate (9.6 percent) than COVID-19 but killed only a quarter as many people. The Chinese economy sped right through the disruption, continuing a nationwide economic expansion. Economists are more certain that the coronavirus will send the world into a recession, but they are unclear on its length or severity. The variables are many including: length of isolation/quarantine, absolute number of services curtailed, relative drop in consumer spending, rebound strength, etc. On the agrifood side of things, an old calculus is that f...